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What bin Laden's Audio Tapes Reveal

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Tuesday, May 20, 2008

By Tim Roemer, The Huffington Post

In the past few days, Osama Bin Laden released two new audiotapes, one pledging new violence against Israel on the 60th anniversary of the Jewish democracy's birth, the other castigating Arab leaders for their failure to do similarly. While some analysts dismiss these as a fruitless bid for relevance, there are important lessons--and warnings--to be drawn from bin Laden's latest missives.

In Iraq, al-Qaeda has fallen back on the defensive. The brutal tactics employed by the group's Iraqi franchise have alienated it from Iraq's Sunni population and even fellow insurgents. Bin Laden's remarks should be viewed as an attempt to change the subject away from Iraq and towards anti-Israel vitriol--territory with greater appeal in the Islamic world as support for al-Qaeda's Iraqi barbarism drops.

Some take comfort in the attempted rhetorical pivot, seeing inevitable defeat. Already, many prominent conservatives have all but declared mission accomplished in the battle against al-Qaeda. And amidst the back-and-forth of campaign season, the al-Qaeda leader's latest broadsides have been met, for the most part, with a collective yawn from the American media. Bin Laden and his cohorts, the conventional wisdom goes, are "irrelevant."

Content with limited military successes in Iraq, this administration has virtually ceded the battle of words and ideas to al-Qaeda. Words and ideas, though, can be just as dangerous as guns and bombs.

For over a decade now, al-Qaeda has shamelessly twisted the images and stories that come from the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to motivate its adherents around the world towards violence--this, despite having a negligible if non-existent presence in Israel. Prior to their current public relations downturn in Iraq, al-Qaeda in Iraq similarly managed to harness the anger of so many outside the country, despite being a discrete minority among insurgents there.
Al-Qaeda has proven itself a master of messaging, mobility and regeneration. As much as we may see this latest message as a transparently cynical ploy, we need to recognize that too many others will not. Until our government deems al-Qaeda's ideological basis worthy of attacking, the terrorist group will always have space to regenerate, whether in the remote regions of Pakistan or the hearts and minds of angry young men around the world.

 

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